OBFA-TRANSFORM
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The Political Economy of Financing Large-Scale Transformations

Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agencies in Wars, Reconstruction, and the Green Transition

The OBFA-TRANSFORM project. An Emmy Noether research group

The Green Transition—a politically desired large-scale transformation of physical capital stock to reach net-zero carbon emissions—is the greatest challenge of our age. We broadly know what technically needs to happen, but one question remains unsettled: Where should the money come from to pay for it?

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Objectives

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Key concepts

Concepts

Monetary ArchitectureMonetary Architecture
Monetary architecture

A methodology to represent historically specific monetary and financial systems as a web of balance sheets that comprises different monetary and fiscal institutions and interlocks via different credit instruments.

Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal AgenciesOff-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agencies
Off-balance-sheet fiscal agencies

Public-private entities whose activities combine traces of monetary and fiscal policy, and can play a critical role to steer monetary architectures in a large-scale transformation.

Three-Phase Financing ProcessThree-Phase Financing Process
Three-phase financing process

The systemic financing of a large-scale transformation requires an initial balance sheet expansion long-term funding, and eventually a final contraction of the balance sheets in a monetary architecture.

The Triad FrameworkThe Triad Framework
Triad framework

The ‘triad’ of taxation, government borrowing, and central bank money creation are conventionally seen as the avalaible policy options for a state to finance large-scale transformations.

Case studies

War finance

OBFAs played a pivotal role in financing military expenditure in North America and Europe throughout the 20th century. Setting up OBFAs not only enhanced credit money creation at an unprecedented scale but also transformed the monetary architectures for good.

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Reconstruction finance

OBFAs were commonly used to finance the economic reconstruction after wars and major crises. Some OBFAs were phased out, others remain part of the monetary architecture until today.

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Green Transition finance

OBFAs are among the most promising financing techniques if the Green Transition is to succeed. Not only can they provide balance sheet elasticity themselves, they may also serve to steer today’s largely privatized monetary architectures towards a predetermined political goal.

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Team

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Dr. Steffen Murau

Principal investigator

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Dr. Armin Haas

Senior researcher

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OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper Series

Publications

Peer-reviewed journal articles

Murau, Steffen, Alexandru-Stefan Goghie, and Matteo Giordano (forthcoming) ‘Encumbered Security? Vertical and Horizontal Repos in the Euro Area and Their Inherent Ambiguity’, Journal of Financial Regulation, online first, https://doi.org/10.1093/jfr/fjaf003.

van ‘t Klooster, Jens, and Steffen Murau (forthcoming) ‘Rethinking Currency Internationalisation. Offshore Money Creation and the EU’s Monetary Governance’, Journal of European Public Policy, online first, https://doi.org/10.1080/13501763.2025.2497357.

Reimer, Friederike, Andrei Guter-Sandu, Armin Haas, and Steffen Murau (2025) ‘Schrödinger’s Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agency. The Recovery and Resilience Facility and the Limits to Incremental Fiscal Integration in Europe’, Journal of European Integration, online first, https://doi.org/10.1080/07036337.2025.2491618.

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2025 | OBFA-TRANSFORM

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